Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.001814 0.001925 0.002040 0.002168 0.002307 0.002452 0.002617
2025-04-13 0.001621 0.001774 0.001938 0.002129 0.002344 0.002581 0.002862
2025-04-20 0.001456 0.001630 0.001822 0.002051 0.002319 0.002624 0.002999
2025-04-27 0.001385 0.001579 0.001800 0.002072 0.002398 0.002781 0.003270
2025-05-04 0.001341 0.001555 0.001804 0.002116 0.002502 0.002969 0.003583
2025-05-11 0.001314 0.001547 0.001823 0.002178 0.002627 0.003185 0.003941
2025-05-18 0.001270 0.001515 0.001810 0.002196 0.002695 0.003330 0.004215
2025-05-25 0.001203 0.001451 0.001753 0.002155 0.002684 0.003370 0.004348
2025-06-01 0.001153 0.001404 0.001714 0.002133 0.002695 0.003437 0.004519
2025-06-08 0.001123 0.001381 0.001705 0.002148 0.002753 0.003569 0.004786
2025-06-15 0.001081 0.001340 0.001670 0.002128 0.002761 0.003630 0.004953
2025-06-22 0.001044 0.001305 0.001641 0.002112 0.002775 0.003698 0.005134
2025-06-29 0.000998 0.001259 0.001598 0.002081 0.002771 0.003750 0.005308
2025-07-06 0.000953 0.001213 0.001553 0.002045 0.002759 0.003790 0.005468
2025-07-13 0.000898 0.001150 0.001484 0.001972 0.002688 0.003739 0.005479
2025-07-20 0.000879 0.001136 0.001481 0.001992 0.002754 0.003896 0.005836
2025-07-27 0.000870 0.001134 0.001494 0.002034 0.002856 0.004114 0.006308
2025-08-03 0.000866 0.001140 0.001517 0.002093 0.002985 0.004382 0.006888
2025-08-10 0.000849 0.001127 0.001513 0.002110 0.003049 0.004549 0.007307
2025-08-17 0.000817 0.001090 0.001473 0.002071 0.003023 0.004564 0.007452
2025-08-24 0.000792 0.001063 0.001446 0.002051 0.003025 0.004627 0.007689
2025-08-31 0.000778 0.001051 0.001442 0.002065 0.003083 0.004788 0.008124
2025-09-07 0.000755 0.001026 0.001417 0.002045 0.003084 0.004849 0.008370